Economic and Fiscal Projections for Medium to Long Term Analysis

These projections are conducted by the Cabinet Office, using the “Economic and Fiscal Model” twice a year. The main results provide the medium to long term macroeconomic and fiscal prospects such as GDP, inflation, government’s primary balance and outstanding debt for two different economic scenarios.
The projections are intended to contribute to the discussion of the Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy by checking the progress towards the targets of economic revitalization and fiscal consolidation.

Latest Materials

• Economic and Fiscal Projections for Medium to Long Term Analysis (July. 29, 2024) (PDF:1093KB)

• Economic and Fiscal Projections for Medium to Long Term Analysis (Executive Summary) (Provisional translation by Cabinet Office) (July. 29, 2024) (PDF:254KB)

"Economic and Fiscal Model" (Only available in Japanese)

• Economic and Fiscal Model (FY 2018) (PDF:845KB) (Only available in Japanese)

Archives (Older materials are here)