Economic Effects of the Front-Loaded Reform Program
1. Effects of Employment Measures
The measurable effects from implementing the
employment measures listed in chapter 2 on strengthening safety nets are
as follows.
1) Employment Creation
About one million jobs will be created over
three years:
by new types of public services -- slightly over 500,000
by supporting employers in newly growing areas -- about 170,000
by supporting reemployment -- about 190,000
by utilizing internship for younger generation, and others -- (remaining)
2) Job Training and Capacity Building
About 80,000 opportunities will be newly provided
for displaced workers toward the end of FY2001.
2. Effects on Total Economy
Positive effects on GDP are expected through
the acceleration of structural reforms such as institutional reforms, business
environment development, and measures for small- and medium-sized companies.
They are aimed toward vitalizing the economy, creating new industries and
employment, and encouraging challengers.
With regard to government investment for social
infrastructures listed in the Front-Loaded Reform Program and disaster relief
measures, GDP is estimated to be pushed by approximately 0.1 percent in
real terms and 0.2 percent in nominal terms over the period of one year.
Note 1. Additional government investment amounts to around 0.6 trillion
yen, including disaster relief measures (0.3 trillion yen by the central
government).
2. The above calculation is based on multipliers derived from the Short-run
Macroeconometric Model of the Japanese Economy of the Economic and Social
Research Institute, Cabinet Office, October 2001. They are 1.09 in
real terms and 1.50 in nominal terms.